Brendan Fraser favors winning Best Actor

Oscar statues seen behind the stage

February 9, 2020; Los Angeles, CA, USA; Oscar statues are seen backstage during the 92nd Academy Awards at the Dolby Theater. Mandatory credit: Handout photo by AMPAS via USA Today Network

  • The 2023 Academy Awards airs Sunday, March 12
  • Preliminary predictions are available for potential nominations and winners
  • Who are in favor of winning the opening odds in the major categories?

In the wake of the much-hyped 2022 Emmy Awards, viewers are already looking forward to the 2023 Academy Awards, which take place on Sunday, March 12.

It will take several months for the nominations to be officially announced, but initial speculation is rife as to what actors, directors and films will be included in each category. Anything can change between now and then, especially as more films hit theaters, but early estimates may be spot-on.

Six months out of the 2023 Oscars, let’s take a look at who is expected to emerge victorious in each category according to the current betting odds.

best picture odds

Character odds
babylon +400
fabelmens +400
talking woman +650
everywhere together +1200
He said +1300
lady king +1600
Inisherin. the banshee +2000
whale +2200
amsterdam +2500
Paved road +2500
kingdom of light +2500
Son +2500
thirteen lives +2500
Top Gun: Maverick +2700
Avatar: The Path of Water +3300
bardo +3300
elvis +3300
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery +3300
Tar +3300
The Greatest Bear Run Ever +3500
unless +3500
armageddon time +4000
triangle of sorrow +4000
a man called Otto +5000
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever +5000
White +5500
decision to leave +5500
Bones and All +8000
don’t worry darling +8000
I wanna Dance With Somebody +8000
white noise +8000
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All odds till 22nd September.

Babylon Favorite to Win Best Picture

It’s always difficult to accurately assess a film that hasn’t been released yet, but by all accounts, Babylon is expected to be a massive success once it hits theaters in early 2023. Its star-studded cast and the huge hype behind it make the film an easy contender for Best Picture.

The Fablemans, a coming-of-age drama directed by Steven Spielberg, ties in with Babylon at +400 and makes sense. The film, centered on a fictional story of Spielberg’s rise in filmmaking, has already won the People’s Choice Award at the Toronto International Film Festival and will be released in November.

Of the two, Babylon may have a better shot at winning the award, given that it will be released later and hence will be fresh in the minds of critics. The Woman King, Everywhere All At Once, and She Said are also credible candidates, but they don’t have as much buzz behind them.

best director odds

Character odds
Steven Spielberg +125
Damien Chazelle +750
Park Chan-wook +1000
Sam Mendes +1000
Sarah Polly +1100
Todd Field +1300
Danielle Kwan and Danielle Scheinert +1400
Maria Schrader +1400
Chinoy Chukwu +1600
James Cameron +1600
Martin McDonagh +1600
alejando g inaritu +2000
Florian Zeller +2000
Gina Prince-Blythwood +2300
baz luhrmann +2500
ruben ostlund +2500
Darren Aronofsky +3300
David O Russell +4000
Noah Baumbach +4000
Ryan Coogler +4200

Steven Spielberg favors winning Best Director

With Babylon and The Fablemans currently headed for Best Picture, it should come as no surprise that each film’s prolific director would be the top two picks for the Best Director category. Curiously, Spielberg (The Fablemans) will be favored so much over Damien Chazelle (Babylon), especially since Spielberg’s last masterpiece West Side Story was released in December 2021.

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The more remarkable a name Spielberg is, the more it can make him a shoo-in for the award. Park Chan-wook (Decision to Leave), Sam Mendes (Empire of Light), and Todd Field (Tar) are also dark horses for Best Director and may receive the award once their respective films receive more recognition upon their release. Huh.

Best Actor Odds

Character odds
Brendan Fraser -160
Austin Butler +450
Bill Nighyo +1200
Colin Farrell +1300
Hugh Jackman +1400
Christian Bale +1600
brad pitt +2000
Adam Driver +2500
Jalin Hall +2500
Viggo Mortensen +2700
Tom Hanks +3300
Harry Styles +4000

Brendan Fraser favors winning Best Actor

Although Whale isn’t at the top of the odds for Best Picture, Fraser’s performance in the film can’t be overstated for all the acclaim and the overwhelming acclaim it’s already received. Fraser’s career resurgence has been beautiful for fans to watch over what he has seen over the past two decades and makes him an early favorite in the category.

The question is whether he will be able to maintain this momentum and goodwill at the Oscars in March. The film, slated for release in December, helps his case tremendously and makes sure his odds don’t drop drastically, but Elvis Presley’s portrayal in Austin Butler’s titular film will give him a run for his money.

Best Actress Odds

Cate Blanchett favors winning Best Actress

Todd Field’s Tar seems to be a sleeper hit and its lead actress, the incredibly talented Cate Blanchett, will have a lot to do with it. She takes on any role well and Lydia Tarr should be no exception, although the same can be said for Margot Robbie.

Robbie receives critical acclaim for most of his roles and, as mentioned, Babylon is bound to be a blockbuster. Expect their odds to fluctuate as their films become available, while Michelle Yeoh remains consistently in third place for the role she played in the hugely popular Everything Everywhere.

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Graham “GSM” Matthews

sports and entertainment writer

sports and entertainment writer


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