Donald Trump is hurting Republican prospects in these key states, polls say
Donald Trump’s endorsement of Republican candidates in the mid-November period is hurting his chances of winning as independent and undecided voters have negative opinions of the former president in key states, according to a new poll.
Surveys conducted by the Super PAC of Trump’s ex-national security adviser John Bolton indicate that the former president’s influence has a “significant drag” on the electoral prospects of his supported candidates in four major battlefield states: Georgia, North Carolina, and Ohio. It is possible Pennsylvania.
According to the poll, in three states, Trump’s chosen candidates are behind their respective Democratic nominees. However, independent and undecided voters—who may be crucial to every GOP candidate who wants to win in November—have unfavorable views of Trump, which means it may be difficult for him to make up the deficit.
In Pennsylvania, Trump-backed celebrity heart surgeon Mehmet Oz is 6 points behind his Democratic rival John Fetterman (38 percent to 44 percent) in the race for a Senate seat.
With undecided votes, nearly half (48 percent) said they had an unfavorable view of Trump, while 34 percent had a favorable view of him.
Writer JD Vance in Ohio is also behind his Democratic rival Tim Ryan by 38 percent to 44 percent. Trump is even more unpopular in Ohio, with undecided voters, with 52 percent saying they view him unfavorably, compared to 24 percent who have a positive outlook.
In North Carolina, Republican Ted Budd is behind Democrat Cheri Beasley by 3 points, 43 percent to 40 percent. This time, undecided voters are 33 percent divided on whether they have a favorable or unfavorable view of Trump.
Former NFL star Herschelle Walker is the only Trump-backed candidate leading the vote in the Georgia Senate race, defeating Democrat Rafael Warnock by 46 percent to 42 percent. With undecided voters, Trump has a favorable rating of 31 percent, with an unfavorable outlook of 43 percent.
As far as independents are concerned, the survey found that 48 percent do not have a positive opinion of the former president. The poll also found that only 12.5 percent of Republican primary voters in four states identified as “Trump Republicans,” while 73 percent said they held more liberal or conservative views.
“We can still win these races, but candidates need to differentiate themselves from Trump. Whatever Trump’s role in the nomination process, his role in the upcoming general election is the GOP effort to gain full control of the Senate. can be fatal,” Bolton said. in a statement.
“Trump’s fixation on himself and in the 2020 election is toxic to independent and undecided voters. Republican candidates hoping to win in November are at risk of political suicide if they assert their proximity to Trump, or allow opponents to portray him as a mini-Trump.”
The results also do not cast a positive light in terms of Trump’s expected bid for the presidency in 2024. According to the poll, 60.4 percent believe that the next Republican candidate should be “a new face,” as he will have a greater chance of defeating President Joe Biden in a hypothetical matchup.
While Trump is still the favorite when voters are asked whether they would support for president if the Republican primary was held today, he is only 33 to 31 percent ahead of Ron DeSantis, with growing speculation that Florida’s governor would also Planning a run. white House.
The survey from John Bolton’s Super PAC was conducted between July 22–24 among 1,200 potential voters, with 300 voters in each state. The results have a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent.
newsweek reached out to Trump’s office for comment.